I recently made a prediction for Nesta’s 14 Predictions for 2014: that the US will lose it’s grip on the internet.
There is also now a version in Prospect, which considers the implications more fully. In short:
If 2013 was the year of Edwards Snowden’s NSA leaks, 2014 will be the year the world reacts: with the dust settled, the blowback will begin in earnest. In the eyes of the public, the NSA leaks revealed a United States comprehensively squandering its moral leadership of the internet, the common, if largely unspoken, acceptance that the ‘land of the free’ is a natural and fitting custodian of the open internet. From next year it will lose its technical leadership as well. For America, this will mean a diminution of its “soft power”; but it will also result in the strengthening and democratisation of the internet.
Both articles were written some time ago, with Christmas and New Year intervening, and others have written, and continue to write, on a similar theme. I’m using this is a place to collect such articles:
- Joshua Kopstein, ‘The Mission to Decentralize the Internet‘, The New Yorker
- John Markoff, “Viewing Where the Internet Goes“, New York Times
- Steven Levy, “How the NSA Almost Killed the Internet“, Wired
- IMO way too sympathetic to internet companies and the NSA
- Tech executives to Obama: NSA spying revelations are hurting business
- Cory Doctorow speaks to the OII: ‘You can’t solve problems by breaking the net’. Doctorow makes a similar point to me – that the value of the internet is diffuse – but we manage to sound like we’re saying almost opposite things. We’re not.
- Joe Nocera, “Brazil is Abuzz About Snowden“, New York Times
And other interesting and valuable NSA commentary
- Matt Blaze, “NSA revelations: the ‘middle ground’ everyone should be talking about“. How NSA’s impressive individual surveillance capacity is a good thing for pushing back against mass surveillance.